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October 9, 2020

#2370: Prediction


[White Hat and Cueball standing next to each other. Cueball has his palm out.]

Cueball: Event A is more likely than Event B.

[White Hat touches chin thoughtfully]

White Hat: So you’re saying that Event A will happen.

Cueball: No, Event B could also happen.

[A frameless panel]

White Hat: So you’re saying it’s 50/50.

Cueball: No, it’s definitely not 50/50.

[Cueball produces a phone]

White Hat: Sounds like you have no idea what will happen.

Cueball: And yet I knew exactly how this conversation would go. Here, listen:

[Cueball clicks a button on his phone]


Phone: Then you’ll say, “So it’s 50/50”